Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1090.232899 1250.755734 1434.498120 1662.091660 1938.806291 2267.410264 2.691806e+03
2025-01-05 833.332844 1027.123032 1271.294764 1607.698692 2069.214475 2695.873380 3.640005e+03
2025-01-12 703.013865 903.964439 1172.210816 1567.219134 2153.589476 3026.366031 4.497128e+03
2025-01-19 609.671851 809.559493 1088.515315 1521.482795 2206.839394 3309.226364 5.360356e+03
2025-01-26 571.013761 782.351531 1090.492366 1594.821657 2448.113374 3939.684635 7.041335e+03
2025-02-02 533.055288 749.725392 1077.556515 1639.279338 2647.499576 4549.594854 8.951000e+03
2025-02-09 502.015666 722.812046 1068.248949 1685.659244 2857.320712 5238.140091 1.138133e+04
2025-02-16 465.704466 683.182396 1032.703855 1679.357369 2964.975108 5749.552884 1.367330e+04
2025-02-23 444.937738 665.778221 1031.048372 1732.628212 3201.201641 6621.928459 1.756030e+04
2025-03-02 422.433762 642.988462 1016.999340 1759.480991 3387.413534 7443.429153 2.197093e+04
2025-03-09 395.946019 610.912139 982.798447 1741.096929 3468.550657 8025.038689 2.607010e+04
2025-03-16 369.598567 576.783221 941.284072 1701.651074 3492.000048 8458.173516 3.002924e+04
2025-03-23 351.980655 558.110313 929.446400 1729.646899 3706.225980 9615.269544 3.926944e+04
2025-03-30 325.464681 521.712232 881.045155 1673.063611 3696.813866 10084.900707 4.589264e+04
2025-04-06 303.600566 491.772638 841.765756 1630.338978 3713.756754 10661.116866 5.444005e+04
2025-04-13 283.431774 463.340495 802.634172 1582.226912 3705.042393 11151.577732 6.370920e+04
2025-04-20 277.849112 461.448653 816.103258 1659.410407 4082.488078 13409.412733 9.566311e+04
2025-04-27 269.634810 453.821157 816.931849 1706.227477 4385.127487 15608.442459 1.392739e+05
2025-05-04 262.135052 446.905497 818.430415 1755.089205 4713.315370 18244.471574 2.105134e+05
2025-05-11 250.659209 431.301798 799.737545 1748.448871 4851.715644 20033.608234 2.872322e+05
2025-05-18 244.860328 426.517287 804.131949 1804.593031 5238.483016 23718.934755 4.799898e+05
2025-05-25 237.369982 417.735776 798.717269 1832.904549 5533.914501 27238.008554 7.864690e+05
2025-06-01 227.162084 402.687101 777.687549 1813.521056 5634.837643 29536.731463 1.153578e+06